13
Nova Scotia
7yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#15
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.30 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 94% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 59% | -0.20 |
| 04/09/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 17/09/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |