9
Western Stars
7yo Gelding · 10-13
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-10 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-12-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/11/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/12/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 10/12/2024 | 7th | 18/5 | 81% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 24/02/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/04/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |