Gardons Le Sourire
10yo Gelding · 9-12
Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 20/01/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |