3
Loquas
8yo Gelding · 10-6
Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 3 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |