5
Lord Raffles
5yo Gelding · 9-13
Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |