1
Magic Marvel
8yo Gelding · 11-1
Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-16 | Pau | BHA124 | 1st | 15th | −11 |
| 2025-11-17 | Le Mans | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2024 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 19/05/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 58% | -0.30 |
| 16/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 13/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |