6

Proud Lucy

5yo Filly · 9-12

Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 16/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 11916/11C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 150C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14516/12C?1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Auteuil 02/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 139 · HIGHER CLASS2/03C1C1 @ Auteuil 23/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 139 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 143 · HIGHER CLASS18/05C?C0 @ Vittel 27/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 128C4 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1478/09C4projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?9th13th−3
2025-08-27Vittel?5th5th0
2025-05-18Auteuil?6th5th+1
2025-03-23Auteuil?3rd3rd+0
2025-03-02Auteuil?2nd2nd+0
2025-01-05Cagnes-sur-Mer12nd2nd+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/115/0118/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength54%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
04/12/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
16/12/20241st5/174%100%+0.26
05/01/20252nd6/492%83%-0.09
02/03/20252nd14/126%80%+0.54
23/03/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
18/05/20256th16/116%64%+0.48
27/08/20255th5/287%69%-0.18
08/09/20269th18/15%20%+0.15