8

Zaochen Enki
5yo Gelding · 9-10
Auteuil · Prix Claude Le Lorrain - Joseph Audon Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Argentan | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-12-30 | Taunton | 4 | −3 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Cheltenham | 3 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 24/03/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/04/2025 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 78% | -0.19 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |