3
Blueskyslookinatme
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 46
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Charles Town | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 03/01/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |