1
Cajun Prime
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 30
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-23 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |