Daisy Flyer
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 98
Churchill Downs · Race 11 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-09-10 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 11th | 5th | +5 |
| 2025-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -5th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/10/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/03/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/09/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |