2
White Cargo
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 54
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readWELL IN
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength74%
What the class read says
Strong hidden class form — has met tougher company than today and the bare form doesn't fully capture it. Should find this level easier.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |