4
Eva Ready
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 91
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +29.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |