Stashu
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-05-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2024-11-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 11/09/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/10/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 08/11/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/03/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 16/05/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |