4
Ring Rights
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 92
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -16.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |