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5

Prince Of Power

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 106

Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Ack Ack Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 21/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 104 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 104 par21/11C6OR 104C6 @ Turfway Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 103 parC5 @ Turfway Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 105 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 105 par15/02C5OR 105C6 @ Turfway Park 12/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m 124 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 100 parC5 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 107 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 107 par2/05C5OR 107C6 @ Churchill Downs 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 101 · 7f Gd 121 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 100 · 1m1f Slo 122 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 100 par26/06C6OR 100C6 @ Ellis Park 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 98 · 6f110y Slo 121 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 98 parC0 @ Charles Town 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 101 · 1m1f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 101 par29/08C?OR 101projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Charles Town?4th4th+0
2026-08-17Ellis Park?2nd8th−5
2026-06-26Churchill Downs?5th11th−5
2026-05-21Churchill Downs?7th13th−5
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?7th12th−4
2026-03-12Turfway Park?4th10th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1112/0326/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
27/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
15/02/20264th15/261%67%+0.06
12/03/20264th10/382%63%-0.20
02/05/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
21/05/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
26/06/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
17/08/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
29/08/20264th20/10%67%+0.67