IvyArcIvyArc
2

Benown

2yo Colt · 9-7

Curragh · Market Square Monasterevin Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/15

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in maiden at this course (7f) on debut last month, nearest at the finish. Can make a bold bid with improvement to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1339/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20262nd33/10%90%+0.90