8

Brageiro

2yo Filly · 9-2

Curragh · Market Square Monasterevin Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Always behind in C&D maiden on debut and fared no better when well held at Naas 9 days ago. Looks to be up against it.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 17.5 /10 (raw 17.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 1289/08C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 19th of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12817/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?19th19th0
2026-08-09Curragh?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/202616th150/10%17%+0.17
17/09/202619th150/10%10%+0.10