Controlla
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 96
Curragh · Market Square Monasterevin Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 8 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | -3th | +8 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | -4th | +8 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 14th | 5th | +7 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | 1 | 2nd | -7th | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -24.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 17/06/2026 | 14th | 3/1 | 84% | 46% | -0.38 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |