14
Starlit
2yo Filly · 9-2
Curragh · Market Square Monasterevin Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength31%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -127.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/08/2026 | 13th | 11/4 | 86% | 8% | -0.78 |