6
Chapel Lane
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 81
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: BHA71
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA72 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA74 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thurles | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 21/08/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |