2
Invincible Will
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 87
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA87 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA87 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA82 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | BHA82 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Cork | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.09 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |