1

Killashee Warrior

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 91

Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful filly. Very good third of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (1m, good to firm) 14 days ago. Must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 21/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f30y Gd 12821/08C81 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 12813/091C8 @ Thurles 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m44y Goo 1309/10C81 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 94 · 7f42y Yie 128 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 94 par12/041OR 941 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 94 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 94 par4/051OR 94BHA91 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 91 · 1m1f120y Yie 123 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 91 par1/0691OR 91BHA89 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 89 · 1m60y Gd 129 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 89 par12/0989OR 89projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA893rd3rd0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA918th8th0
2026-05-04Curragh17th7th0
2026-04-12Leopardstown14th4th0
2025-10-09Thurles?1st1st0
2025-09-13Leopardstown14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0812/0412/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20254th28/10%70%+0.70
13/09/20254th50/10%57%+0.57
09/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
12/04/20264th28/10%75%+0.75
04/05/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
01/06/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
12/09/20263rd8/158%88%+0.30