5
Mumhan
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 86
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA86 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |