9
Unauthorized
3yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 83
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | BHA86 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA79 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA80 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |