9
Bounty
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 89
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | Naas | BHA92 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Curragh | BHA96 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Tipperary | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Doncaster | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-13 | Naas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2021% of fieldRange 16-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 94% | +0.09 |
| 13/10/2024 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 26/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 42% | -0.00 |
| 14/09/2025 | 21st | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 28/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |