19
Buddy Batt
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 69
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#18
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA73 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA77 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | BHA80 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA80 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dundalk | BHA77 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | BHA77 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2016% of fieldRange 9-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 28/06/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |