16

Cuban Grey

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 75

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who made the frame twice here this summer. Reported to have lost a shoe when finding run of good form coming to a halt at Navan latest. Course record suggests he's an each-way player from 3 lb out of handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA76 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 76 · 5f Sft 127 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 76 par19/0476OR 76BHA76 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 5f Yie 131 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 76 parBHA75 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 5f Std 135 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 75 par26/0575OR 75BHA79 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f Goo 121 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 79 parBHA78 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f Gd 140 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 78 par14/0678OR 78BHA78 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 78 · 5f Gd 121 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 78 parBHA79 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 79 · 5f GF 121 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 79 par9/0879OR 79BHA79 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 79 · 6f Std 119 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 79 parBHA79 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 79 · 5f Goo 139 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 79 par2/0979OR 79projClass-projected finish: 14th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA7914th14th0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA795th5th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA793rd3rd0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA784th4th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA789th9th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA797th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/047/069/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 1-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/202610th11/271%0%-0.71
16/05/20265th9/153%56%+0.03
26/05/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
07/06/20267th11/142%0%-0.42
14/06/20269th13/266%11%-0.55
28/06/20264th33/10%80%+0.80
09/08/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
15/08/20265th16/116%64%+0.48
02/09/202614th17/255%13%-0.42