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Erosandpsyche

8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 97

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#16

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Several good efforts in defeat this year. Latest 5¼-length defeat by Moltophino wasn't one of them and he's weighted to extend his long losing run here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 22 · OR 98 · 6f Gd 139 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 98 par23/0598OR 98BHA96 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 5f Goo 138 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 96 par1 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 95 · 5f Gd 135 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 95 par14/061OR 95BHA95 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 5f Gd 138 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 95 parBHA94 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 94 · 5f GF 134 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 94 par24/0794OR 94BHA95 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 95 · 5f GF 137 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 21 · OR 95 · 5f89y Goo 129 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 95 par19/082OR 951 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 5f Yie 133 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 94 parBHA97 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 97 · 5f Gd 140 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 97 par5/0997OR 97projClass-projected finish: 8th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA975th5th0
2026-08-30Cork12nd2nd0
2026-08-19York28th8th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA955th5th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA942nd2nd0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA958th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0528/0619/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 2011% of fieldRange 14-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/202611th40/10%52%+0.52
07/06/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
14/06/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
28/06/20268th20/10%53%+0.53
24/07/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
09/08/20265th9/276%64%-0.13
19/08/20268th40/10%65%+0.65
30/08/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
05/09/20265th4/179%43%-0.36