7
Frescobaldi
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 91
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#20
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#20
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA94 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Dundalk | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | York | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 200% of fieldRange 16-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 20th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |