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5

Gazelle D'or

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 92

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a trio of sprint handicaps at this venue last season. Improved form when runner-up to subsequent Group-1 winner in 5f listed race at Naas in May. Hasn't reproduced that effort, though, and work to do at the weights back handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA82 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 23 · OR 82 · 6f Yie 119 · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 82 par14/0982OR 82BHA83 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 5f Yie 123 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 83 par1 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 89 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 89 par4/101OR 89BHA89 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f Sft 140 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 89 par1 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 88 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 88 par27/041OR 881 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 86 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 86 parBHA97 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 97 par5/0697OR 971 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 97 · 5f Yie 128 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 94 · 5f Yie 129 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 94 par13/091OR 94projClass-projected finish: 12th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Curragh113th13th0
2026-08-30Cork14th4th0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA972nd2nd0
2026-05-17Naas12nd2nd0
2026-04-27Naas112th12th0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA897th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0919/045/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2074% of fieldRange 9-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20256th28/10%77%+0.77
27/09/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
04/10/202512th9/153%35%-0.17
19/04/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
27/04/202612th50/10%21%+0.21
17/05/20262nd40/10%89%+0.89
05/06/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
30/08/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
13/09/202613th100/10%25%+0.25