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20

Harry's Hill

8yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 69

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on promise of previous couple of efforts when winning comfortably over C&D last month. Remains well treated on old form, though this is a much deeper race (long way out the weights).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA80 @ Naas 11/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 80 · 5f Yie 130 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 80 par11/1080OR 80BHA78 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 parBHA76 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 76 · 5f Std 136 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 76 par26/0576OR 76BHA70 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 140 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA66 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 5f Gd 128 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 66 par14/0666OR 66BHA66 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 66 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 66 parBHA68 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 138 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 68 par4/0768OR 68BHA67 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 67 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 67 parBHA69 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 139 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 69 par16/0869OR 69projClass-projected finish: 5th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16CurraghBHA691st1st0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA672nd2nd0
2026-07-04NaasBHA686th6th0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA6610th10th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA666th6th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA7012th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/107/064/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2089% of fieldRange 8-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20259th14/126%20%-0.06
16/05/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
26/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
07/06/202612th16/116%45%+0.29
14/06/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
28/06/202610th40/10%40%+0.40
04/07/20266th7/163%55%-0.09
18/07/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
16/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21