17
Heddon Street
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 76
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2026% of fieldRange 19-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 86% | -0.13 |