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3

Keke

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 94

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won this corresponding event in 2024. Notched an eighth career success at Naas in July. Shaped better than the beaten distance here (6f) last time. Cheekpieces go on and makes plenty of appeal in a race that'll be run to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 98 · 5f Sft 138 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 98 par28/0398OR 98BHA97 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 97 · 5f205y Gd 137 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 104 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 104 par17/051OR 1041 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 102 · 5f Gd 135 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 102 · 5f Goo 136 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 102 par4/07102OR 102BHA102 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 102 · 6f63y Goo 140 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 100 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 100 par14/081OR 100BHA99 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 99 · 6f Goo 140 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 99 parBHA95 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 24 · OR 95 · 6f Yie 130 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 95 par13/0995OR 95projClass-projected finish: 10th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13CurraghBHA9517th17th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA994th4th0
2026-08-14Cork14th4th0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA1024th4th0
2026-07-04NaasBHA1021st1st0
2026-06-14Cork15th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0314/0614/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 20100% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
27/04/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
17/05/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
14/06/20265th7/491%43%-0.48
04/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
18/07/20264th20/10%84%+0.84
14/08/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
22/08/20264th10/382%67%-0.16
13/09/202617th10/147%30%-0.17