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Kendall Roy

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 99

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who was successful in listed company earlier in the season. Well treated on his close third in Premier Handicap at Cork in July and cheekpieces go back on following an effort that was too bad to be true there last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA90 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 90 · 5f Yie 131 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 90 par27/0990OR 90C0 @ Bahrain 19/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 131C0 @ Bahrain 16/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 93 · 4f214y Gd 128 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 93 par16/01C?OR 93C0 @ Bahrain 19/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1371 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 98 · 5f Gd 135 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 98 par14/061OR 981 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 103 · 5f Goo 135 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 103 parBHA102 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 102 · 5f GF 142 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 102 par24/07102OR 1022 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 102 · 5f GF 142 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 102 · 5f Yie 136 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 102 par30/081OR 102projClass-projected finish: 18th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork18th8th0
2026-08-08Ascot26th6th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA1023rd3rd0
2026-07-18Curragh19th9th0
2026-06-14Cork11st1st0
2026-02-19Bahrain?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0919/0224/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2037% of fieldRange 13-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
19/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
16/01/202613th13/266%0%-0.66
19/02/202610th16/116%47%+0.31
14/06/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
18/07/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
24/07/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19
08/08/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
30/08/20268th7/282%0%-0.82