12
Moltophino
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 84
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#14
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA76 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA79 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA80 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA83 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA84 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA85 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2053% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 14/09/2025 | 20th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.47 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |