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13

Namiid

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 85

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In-form sprinter who was clear of the remainder when ¾-length second of 8 to Moltophino at Navan last time. Reopposes on better terms here and could run a big race for yard firmly among the winners.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 5f Gd 131 · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 80 par16/081OR 80C8 @ Navan 28/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 86 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 86 · 5f Sft 133 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 86 par18/09C8OR 86C8 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 86 · 5f Std 134 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 85 · 5f Yie 134 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 85 par16/05C8OR 85BHA85 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 5f Goo 120 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 85 parBHA84 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 84 · 5f3y Gd 132 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 84 par2/0784OR 84BHA84 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 140 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 84 parBHA82 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 5f Gd 124 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 82 par5/0982OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA822nd2nd0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA843rd3rd0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA842nd2nd0
2026-06-07NavanBHA854th4th0
2026-05-16Navan?1st1st0
2026-04-23Dundalk?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0823/042/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2095% of fieldRange 4-19 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 20.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20253rd33/10%67%+0.67
28/08/20252nd6/594%91%-0.03
18/09/20254th7/491%70%-0.21
23/04/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
16/05/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
07/06/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
02/07/20262nd6/492%75%-0.17
18/07/20263rd9/153%88%+0.36
05/09/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17