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6

Rosie Frith

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 93

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going type who posted a career best when scoring over C&D in August. Below form in a hot 6f sprint here last time. Weighted to be competitive if back on song returned to minimum trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA75 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 5f Std 131 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 75 par19/0975OR 75BHA80 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 80 · 5f Std 138 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 80 par1 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 94 · 5f110y Sft 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 94 par3/051OR 942 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 92 · 5f Gd 138 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 92 parBHA89 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 5f3y Gd 137 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 89 par2/0789OR 89BHA93 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 93 · 5f Std 128 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 93 · 5f GF 129 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 93 par24/0793OR 93BHA92 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 92 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 92 parBHA93 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 20th of 24 · OR 93 · 6f Yie 126 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 93 par13/0993OR 93projClass-projected finish: 9th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13CurraghBHA9320th20th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA921st1st0
2026-07-24CorkBHA934th4th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA934th4th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA891st1st0
2026-06-05Epsom Downs212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/095/0624/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2068% of fieldRange 13-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20252nd14/126%89%+0.63
24/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
03/05/20268th22/10%0%0.00
05/06/202612th25/10%27%+0.27
02/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
12/07/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
24/07/20264th6/168%70%+0.02
09/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/09/202620th50/10%17%+0.17