4
The Highway Rat
8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 93
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | BHA93 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA98 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA99 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA99 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA99 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2047% of fieldRange 2-20 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 18/07/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |