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City of Dubai

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 98

Curragh · Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved on his debut success when useful runner-up in listed race at Gowran (1m) second time up. Only ran to a similar level when beaten 5¼ lengths in the Group 2 Futurity Stakes here (form not worked out), though should fare better back over 1m here. Probably the leading danger to Noble Exhibit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength7%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Gd 13313/07C81 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m Goo 1317/0811 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13122/081projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh15th5th0
2026-08-07Gowran Park12nd3rd−0
2026-07-13Killarney?1st10th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/077/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -47.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
07/08/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
22/08/20265th5/174%20%-0.54