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2

Drumbeat

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 90

Curragh · Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

200,000 gns Wootton Bassett colt. Third behind useful Jesus Green at Leopardstown (1m) last month. Far from the finished article when dead-heating at Gowran (7f) subsequently. Has the potential to do better back up in trip, though doesn't look the stable's leading hope.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13118/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 1316/08C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?1st10th−8
2026-08-06Leopardstown?3rd12th−8
2026-07-18Curragh?6th15th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/076/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +16.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
06/08/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
01/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07