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3

Noble Exhibit

2yo Colt · 9-5

Curragh · Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed his debut promise in the manner of a smart prospect when forging clear for a 7-length success at Punchestown. Addition of first-time cheekpieces hardly a negative for one who finds generously, and he can add to Aidan O'Brien's outstanding record in this race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 11.1 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13322/08C8C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 13315/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?1st10th−8
2026-08-22Curragh?3rd12th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -56.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20263rd16/116%87%+0.71
15/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14