4
Shakespeare
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 101
Curragh · Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2) · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 10th | −8 |
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 12th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |