IvyArcIvyArc
5

Tommy Quick

2yo Colt · 9-5

Curragh · Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Will improve on his 3¼ lengths seventh of 10 on debut here (9f, 50/1), travelled well/ran green. Still plenty to find with the form principals, however, clearly held in high regard by an excellent stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 16.1 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?7th16th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20267th50/10%33%+0.33