IvyArcIvyArc
5

Dmaniac

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 87

Curragh · Izuzu Ireland Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 6f winner here, the latest in March when beating Unique Journey by 3¼ lengths. Failed to justify favouritism back over 5f here next time, but bounced back to form when a neck second in a 7f event at Cork in May. Probably needed the run after 4 months off 2 weeks ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA75 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 75 · 5f205y Goo 121 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 75 par4/0875OR 75BHA69 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 69 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 69 parBHA72 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 72 · 7f15y Hvy 129 · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 72 par23/0972OR 72BHA72 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Sft 128 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 72 parBHA71 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 71 · 6f Hvy 131 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 71 par21/1071OR 71BHA80 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 80 · 6f Hvy 122 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 80 parBHA87 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 87 · 5f Sft 127 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 87 par28/0387OR 87BHA87 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 87 · 7f Sft 131 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 24 · OR 87 · 6f Yie 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 87 par13/0987OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13CurraghBHA8718th18th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA872nd2nd0
2026-03-28CurraghBHA875th5th0
2026-03-15CurraghBHA801st1st0
2025-10-21CurraghBHA711st1st0
2025-10-04CurraghBHA723rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/084/1028/0313/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20259th12/137%38%+0.02
10/09/20252nd14/126%95%+0.68
23/09/20259th17/255%38%-0.17
04/10/20253rd9/276%75%-0.01
21/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
15/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
28/03/20265th9/488%69%-0.19
03/05/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
13/09/202618th12/137%26%-0.11