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6

Headmaster

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 87

Curragh · Izuzu Ireland Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved model for current connections. Successful in useful 6f course handicap/solid second in a valuable 7f Cork event in early-summer. Not so good last 3 starts but now just 1 lb above last winning mark with a good-value 7-lb claimer booked. Fancied to go close back at 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f Sft 127 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 87 par30/083OR 874 @ Kempton 01/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m Sta 137 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 85 par3 @ Newbury 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 83 · 7f Sft 126 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 83 par24/103OR 83BHA87 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 87 · 5f205y Gd 127 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 87 parBHA86 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 22 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 86 par23/0586OR 86BHA91 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 91 · 7f Gd 126 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 91 parBHA94 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 94 · 6f63y Goo 132 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 94 par18/0794OR 94BHA93 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 93 · 5f GF 135 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 93 parBHA89 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 24 · OR 89 · 6f Yie 124 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 89 par13/0989OR 89projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13CurraghBHA8912th12th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA9310th10th0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA9417th17th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA912nd2nd0
2026-05-23CurraghBHA861st1st0
2026-04-27NaasBHA877th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0827/0418/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/202510th3/184%10%-0.74
01/10/20258th10/382%36%-0.46
24/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
27/04/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
23/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
14/06/20262nd5/174%93%+0.19
18/07/202617th7/163%16%-0.47
09/08/202610th9/276%18%-0.58
13/09/202612th20/10%52%+0.52