3
Rahmi
7yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 90
Curragh · Izuzu Ireland Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA93 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA97 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA100 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA102 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | BHA106 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.16 |