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10

Uncle Goalie

3yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 79

Curragh · Izuzu Ireland Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on previous performances when winning 13-runner 1m Leopardstown maiden in August by nose from My Shayla. Got first run on that occasion and drop back to 7f not an obvious given pedigree. Makes handicap debut from 2 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m Goo 13420/05C8C8 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f Yie 13428/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13420/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Leopardstown?1st1st0
2026-07-28Galway?3rd3rd0
2026-05-20Gowran Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0528/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -13.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
28/07/20263rd11/271%85%+0.14
20/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14