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15

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2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 93

Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising second at Doncaster on debut and built on that in impressive fashion when running away with a 5-runner novice at Newbury. Acquitted herself well in listed company when neck second of 8 to Aperoll at Sandown (7f, good) in July and better than she could show in the Prestige Stakes.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f111y GF 1286/0622 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f Goo 12823/0621 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 89 par23/071OR 891 @ Goodwood 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 94 · 7f Sft 128 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 94 par30/081OR 94projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Goodwood16th6th0
2026-07-23Sandown12nd2nd0
2026-06-23Newbury21st1st0
2026-06-06Doncaster22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0623/0623/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -28.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20262nd11/142%80%+0.38
23/06/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
23/07/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
30/08/20266th11/486%29%-0.57