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2

Carry The Flag

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 110

Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

5f listed winner who has stood up very well to a busy campaign, advancing his form when an excellent second in Group 1 Morny at Deauville (6f) last month. Flying Childers may have come too soon and he sets the standard eased in class, for all 7f isn't sure to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f Sft 13119/04C?C8 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 1331 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13124/0511 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR - · 5f GF 1291 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 101 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 101 par4/071OR 1011 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 101 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 98 · 6f GF 131 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 98 par9/081OR 981 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 101 · 5f212y Sft 125 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 112 · 5f3y Goo 129 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 112 par11/091OR 112projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster110th10th0
2026-08-23Deauville12nd2nd0
2026-08-09Curragh14th4th0
2026-07-18Curragh17th7th0
2026-07-04Naas11st1st0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot19th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0420/069/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
09/05/20261st30/10098%100%+0.02
24/05/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
20/06/20269th5/287%60%-0.27
04/07/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
18/07/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
09/08/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
23/08/20262nd150/10%83%+0.83
11/09/202610th4/179%10%-0.69